COVID-19 Compilation: Part 20 - July 26 - August 1, 2020
On March 14th, I began posting daily updates to my facebook page, regarding the status of the COVID-19 pandemic. As a backbone for this, I have used data from worldometers. I had no particular plan at the time, but as things have evolved I have kept going at one post per day, eventually settling on a more or less standard format and one topic per day.
This blog post compiles the period of July 26th through August 1st. I have corrected some typos, augmented with links to original sources, and used some basic html to improve formatting; otherwise these are presented as-is from the original posts.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
There were 216,340 new cases worldwide today, including 56,130 in the USA.
There were 4,104 deaths worldwide today, including 451 in the USA.
July 26 | July 27 | July 28 | July 29 | July 30 | July 31 | August 1
There were 217,806 new cases worldwide today, including 61,571 in the USA.
There were 4,198 deaths worldwide today, including 596 in the USA.
There were 247,577 new cases worldwide today, including 64,729 in the USA.
There were 5,567 deaths worldwide today, including 1,245 in the USA. The US death total is the highest since May 27th.
Cumulatively, there have now been 16.88 million cases and 662,481 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.50 million cases and 152,320 deaths.
On July 17th, I took a look at the CDC Excess Deaths data, as compared to the published totals for the states of Texas and Connecticut. In that analysis, I wrote that the CDC Excess Death counts for some weeks was so far above the officially reported Texas numbers that it "suggests that the official death count for Texas may represent a substantial undercount."
In a news release yesterday titled, "DSHS Improves Reporting of COVID-19 Fatalities," the State of Texas agreed: "The Texas Department of State Health Services is improving the reporting of fatalities due to COVID-19 by identifying them through the cause of death listed on death certificates... A fatality is counted as due to COVID-19 when the medical certifier, usually a doctor with direct knowledge of the patient, determines COVID-19 directly caused the death. This method does not include deaths of people who had COVID-19 but died of an unrelated cause... As of Monday, death certificate data has identified 5,713 fatalities among Texas residents, including 44 newly reported today. That compares with 5,038 deaths reported Sunday under the previous method."
In other words, Texas acknowledged an undercount of 631 COVID-19 deaths prior to yesterday's revision. I'll note that not all COVID-19 deaths are recorded as such on death certificates; a ProPublica article on July 8th titled, "A Spike in People Dying at Home Suggests Coronavirus Deaths in Houston May Be Higher Than Reported," noted that "dead-on-arrival" calls were up 50-75 per month year over year, and that only a small fraction of such cases are likely to end up getting listed as COVID-19 (data from earlier in the pandemic both in New York and in Italy both support that claim). That is, the undercount is likely much more than 631.
Four states set new daily records for COVID-19 deaths today:
Montana still has the 4th lowest per capita death rate in the United States, but 28 of its 51 deaths have occurred in the past 20 days. During those 20 days, Montana has had a higher per capita death rate than New York.
July 26 | July 27 | July 28 | July 29 | July 30 | July 31 | August 1
On an evening of Lamentations, here are today's laments:
There were 6,826 deaths worldwide today, including 1,485 in the USA.
Cumulatively, there have now been 17.17 million cases and 669,362 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.57 million cases and 153,840 deaths.
July 26 | July 27 | July 28 | July 29 | July 30 | July 31 | August 1
There were 280,337 new cases worldwide today, including 68,569 in the USA.
There were 6,221 deaths worldwide today, including 1,465 in the USA.
Cumulatively, there have now been 17.45 million cases and 675,762 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.63 million cases and 155,285 deaths.
Several US States had new records for cases today:
In addition, several US States had new records for deaths today:
On July 16th, I took a look at the CDC Excess Deaths data, as compared to the worldometer US Death totals as collected from the states. At that time, I noted that "the data is up to 8 weeks behind, so we should expect to see the CDC numbers for for past 2 months to go up."
Today, I'll re-examine, for the same time period so that the graphs are easier to read.
Due to various re-tabulations in the states, the worldometer number for US deaths, through July 11th, has risen by 346. But the CDC estimates for excess deaths due to COVID-19 has risen by between 20,072 (lower estimate) to 26,334 (higher estimate). The overall estimates from CDC for excess deaths through July 11th now sits at a range of 144,964 to 178,158.
The two charts below show the CDC numbers and worldometer number as of July 16th, and as of this evening. The differences in the red and blue lines show how the CDC excess deaths estimates have changed over the past two weeks. Today's update suggests that there is still a significant undercount of US deaths due to COVID-19 and that the excess death number through the end of July will likely eventually surpass 200,000.
July 26 | July 27 | July 28 | July 29 | July 30 | July 31 | August 1
Today marks the end of the 6th month for the pandemic outside China. During that time, the pandemic has shifted from being huge in Western Europe, to current outbreaks across the Americas and Asia.
Only one EU country, Spain, remains in the top 10 for total cases. Spain recently went to a counting method whereby 'Total Cases' is the sum of total cases detected by PRC and antibodies tests; that has partially led to Spain once again having one of the higher world totals in reported cases.
Also today, Vietnam reported its first two COVID-19 deaths.
The table accompanying this post shows the countries with the most cases and deaths in July, along with the percentages of their overall cases in deaths that occurred in July. Even though this is at least the 4th full month for nearly every country in the table, many of their percentages for cases and deaths in July were 40% or higher. Suffice to say, the virus is not fading away.
There were 289,149 new cases worldwide today, including 70,904 in the USA.
There were 6,429 deaths worldwide today, including 1,462 in the USA.
Cumulatively, there have now been 17.75 million cases and 682,393 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.71 million cases and 156,747 deaths.
In the USA, there were new single day death records in Florida (256), Mississippi (52), and Montana (5).
July 26 | July 27 | July 28 | July 29 | July 30 | July 31 | August 1
There were 255,811 new cases worldwide today, including 58,541 in the USA.
There were 5,601 deaths worldwide today, including 1,123 in the USA.
Cumulatively, there have now been 18.08 million cases and 688,016 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.76 million cases and 157,898 deaths.
On Thursday, Vanity Fair published a major article titled, "How Jared Kushner’s Secret Testing Plan 'Went Poof Into Thin Air'"
The subheading read: "This spring, a team working under the president's son-in-law produced a plan for an aggressive, coordinated national COVID-19 response that could have brought the pandemic under control. So why did the White House spike it in favor of a shambolic 50-state response?"
The most striking part of the answer offered up in the article, buried more than 3 dozen paragraphs down, was this:
"Most troubling of all, perhaps, was a sentiment the expert said a member of Kushner’s team expressed: that because the virus had hit blue states hardest, a national plan was unnecessary and would not make sense politically. “The political folks believed that because it was going to be relegated to Democratic states, that they could blame those governors, and that would be an effective political strategy,” said the expert."
April was the deadliest month so far in the USA for COVID-19. Per worldomer 59,944 Americans died from COVID-19 in April alone, and the USA death total was 65,130 at the end of the month.
As April ended, the states with the most deaths per capita in the USA were:
As far back as March 24th, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo said, "Look at us today... we are your future... New York is the canary in the coal mine."
And here were are.
No, we'll likely never see the death rates nationally that New York had in March and April.
The attached chart shows the states with the highest percentage of their deaths occurring in July. I'll go to 11 again.
All 11 went "red" in the 2016 presidential election.
Florida and Texas both had more cases in July than all but 3 countries in the world, and would have been top 10 in deaths.
The future has arrived.
This blog post compiles the period of July 26th through August 1st. I have corrected some typos, augmented with links to original sources, and used some basic html to improve formatting; otherwise these are presented as-is from the original posts.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
JULY 26
There were 216,340 new cases worldwide today, including 56,130 in the USA.
There were 4,104 deaths worldwide today, including 451 in the USA.
Cumulatively, there have now been 16.41 million cases and 651,674 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.37 million cases and 149,845 deaths.
The USA case totals for today are the least since July 8th. Standard caveats about Sunday reporting apply.
India became the third country, after the USA and Brazil, to have as many as 50,000 cases in a single day today. The most reported deaths in the world were not in any of those 3 countries, however: that grim honor goes to Mexico today, with 729 deaths.
In the USA, Alaska (!) reported a record number of new cases today, with 186 residents testing positive and 45 non-residents. The prior record was 94.
As of one month ago today, June 26th, New York had more than twice as many cases as any other state, and also had the most cases per capita in the USA. In the past week, California has passed New York for total cases, and Louisiana for cases per capita. By the end of July, New York will likely be 4th in total cases and 3rd in cases per capita.
The attached table shows the top 10 states last week in terms of most new cases; I also added the death could for last week, which is largely the same states (Ohio is missing from the table, for that purpose).
The USA case totals for today are the least since July 8th. Standard caveats about Sunday reporting apply.
India became the third country, after the USA and Brazil, to have as many as 50,000 cases in a single day today. The most reported deaths in the world were not in any of those 3 countries, however: that grim honor goes to Mexico today, with 729 deaths.
In the USA, Alaska (!) reported a record number of new cases today, with 186 residents testing positive and 45 non-residents. The prior record was 94.
As of one month ago today, June 26th, New York had more than twice as many cases as any other state, and also had the most cases per capita in the USA. In the past week, California has passed New York for total cases, and Louisiana for cases per capita. By the end of July, New York will likely be 4th in total cases and 3rd in cases per capita.
The attached table shows the top 10 states last week in terms of most new cases; I also added the death could for last week, which is largely the same states (Ohio is missing from the table, for that purpose).
 |
| States with the most cases and deaths in the US, July 19-25, 2020 |
JULY 27
There were 217,806 new cases worldwide today, including 61,571 in the USA.
There were 4,198 deaths worldwide today, including 596 in the USA.
Cumulatively, there have now been 16.64 million cases and 656,081 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.43 million cases and 150,444 deaths.
Last Thursday, Major League Baseball started an abbreviated season. The games are being played in empty stadiums with cardboard cutouts in seats, and with fake crown noise.
This morning, it was revealed that *eleven* players for the Miami Marlins have tested positive for COVID-19. Tonight's home opener was canceled, as was tonight's game involving Miami's last opponent, the Philadelphia Phillies.
At this point, none of the 11 players are symptomatic for COVID-19. Still, just 4 days in to the season, games are already being canceled.
July 26 | July 27 | July 28 | July 29 | July 30 | July 31 | August 1
Last Thursday, Major League Baseball started an abbreviated season. The games are being played in empty stadiums with cardboard cutouts in seats, and with fake crown noise.
This morning, it was revealed that *eleven* players for the Miami Marlins have tested positive for COVID-19. Tonight's home opener was canceled, as was tonight's game involving Miami's last opponent, the Philadelphia Phillies.
At this point, none of the 11 players are symptomatic for COVID-19. Still, just 4 days in to the season, games are already being canceled.
JULY 28
There were 247,577 new cases worldwide today, including 64,729 in the USA.
There were 5,567 deaths worldwide today, including 1,245 in the USA. The US death total is the highest since May 27th.
Cumulatively, there have now been 16.88 million cases and 662,481 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.50 million cases and 152,320 deaths.
On July 17th, I took a look at the CDC Excess Deaths data, as compared to the published totals for the states of Texas and Connecticut. In that analysis, I wrote that the CDC Excess Death counts for some weeks was so far above the officially reported Texas numbers that it "suggests that the official death count for Texas may represent a substantial undercount."
In a news release yesterday titled, "DSHS Improves Reporting of COVID-19 Fatalities," the State of Texas agreed: "The Texas Department of State Health Services is improving the reporting of fatalities due to COVID-19 by identifying them through the cause of death listed on death certificates... A fatality is counted as due to COVID-19 when the medical certifier, usually a doctor with direct knowledge of the patient, determines COVID-19 directly caused the death. This method does not include deaths of people who had COVID-19 but died of an unrelated cause... As of Monday, death certificate data has identified 5,713 fatalities among Texas residents, including 44 newly reported today. That compares with 5,038 deaths reported Sunday under the previous method."
In other words, Texas acknowledged an undercount of 631 COVID-19 deaths prior to yesterday's revision. I'll note that not all COVID-19 deaths are recorded as such on death certificates; a ProPublica article on July 8th titled, "A Spike in People Dying at Home Suggests Coronavirus Deaths in Houston May Be Higher Than Reported," noted that "dead-on-arrival" calls were up 50-75 per month year over year, and that only a small fraction of such cases are likely to end up getting listed as COVID-19 (data from earlier in the pandemic both in New York and in Italy both support that claim). That is, the undercount is likely much more than 631.
Four states set new daily records for COVID-19 deaths today:
| State | Number of Deaths |
| Florida | 186 |
| California | 169 |
| Arkansas | 20 |
| Montana | 4 |
Montana still has the 4th lowest per capita death rate in the United States, but 28 of its 51 deaths have occurred in the past 20 days. During those 20 days, Montana has had a higher per capita death rate than New York.
JULY 29
On an evening of Lamentations, here are today's laments:
- Too many people are dying in too many places.
- California, the most populous state in the country, had 195 deaths per worldometer, a new record.
- Texas, the 2nd most populous state in the country, had 257 deaths today, per worldometer, a new record, and the most of any US State since May 12th.
ADDENDUM: Texas death count was adjusted after hours to 313. - Florida, the 3rd most populous state in the country, had 216 deaths today, also a new record.
- California, the most populous state in the country, had 195 deaths per worldometer, a new record.
- Too many leaders are behaving badly.
Texas Republican Congressman Louis Gohmert, who was supposed to fly to Texas today with President Trump, tested positive for COVID-19 this morning and was pulled from the trip.
In the aftermath of the Gohmert announcement, one of Gohmert's aides emailed Politico reporter Jake Sherman, who had broken the news, as follows: "JAKE, THANK YOU for letting our office know Louie tested positive for the Coronavirus. When you write your story, can you include the fact that Louie requires full staff to be in the office, including three interns, so that 'we could be an example to America on how to open up safely.' When probing the office, you might want to ask how often were people berated for wearing masks."
Gohmert was on the Capitol floor as recently as yesterday, maskless, during a hearing with Attorney General William Barr; he also had private conversations with Barr during the day. That Gohmert was tested today was because of the pending trip; otherwise he would have continued to be in close proximity to representatives, aides, and other workers at the Capitol. - There are too many cases in too many places.
- Brazil had 70,869 new cases today, and 1,554 deaths.Both numbers are new records there.
- India had 52,249 new cases today, also a new record.
There were 6,826 deaths worldwide today, including 1,485 in the USA.
Cumulatively, there have now been 17.17 million cases and 669,362 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.57 million cases and 153,840 deaths.
JULY 30
There were 280,337 new cases worldwide today, including 68,569 in the USA.
There were 6,221 deaths worldwide today, including 1,465 in the USA.
Cumulatively, there have now been 17.45 million cases and 675,762 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.63 million cases and 155,285 deaths.
Several US States had new records for cases today:
| State | Number of Cases |
| North Carolina | 2588 |
| Mississippi | 1775 |
| Ohio | 1750 |
| Missouri | 1712 |
| Hawaii | 124 |
In addition, several US States had new records for deaths today:
| State | Number of Deaths |
| Texas | 322 |
| Florida | 252 |
| Arizona | 172 |
On July 16th, I took a look at the CDC Excess Deaths data, as compared to the worldometer US Death totals as collected from the states. At that time, I noted that "the data is up to 8 weeks behind, so we should expect to see the CDC numbers for for past 2 months to go up."
Today, I'll re-examine, for the same time period so that the graphs are easier to read.
Due to various re-tabulations in the states, the worldometer number for US deaths, through July 11th, has risen by 346. But the CDC estimates for excess deaths due to COVID-19 has risen by between 20,072 (lower estimate) to 26,334 (higher estimate). The overall estimates from CDC for excess deaths through July 11th now sits at a range of 144,964 to 178,158.
The two charts below show the CDC numbers and worldometer number as of July 16th, and as of this evening. The differences in the red and blue lines show how the CDC excess deaths estimates have changed over the past two weeks. Today's update suggests that there is still a significant undercount of US deaths due to COVID-19 and that the excess death number through the end of July will likely eventually surpass 200,000.
 |
| CDC Excess Deaths with worldometer numbers, July 15 and July 29, 2020 |
JULY 31
Today marks the end of the 6th month for the pandemic outside China. During that time, the pandemic has shifted from being huge in Western Europe, to current outbreaks across the Americas and Asia.
Only one EU country, Spain, remains in the top 10 for total cases. Spain recently went to a counting method whereby 'Total Cases' is the sum of total cases detected by PRC and antibodies tests; that has partially led to Spain once again having one of the higher world totals in reported cases.
Also today, Vietnam reported its first two COVID-19 deaths.
The table accompanying this post shows the countries with the most cases and deaths in July, along with the percentages of their overall cases in deaths that occurred in July. Even though this is at least the 4th full month for nearly every country in the table, many of their percentages for cases and deaths in July were 40% or higher. Suffice to say, the virus is not fading away.
 |
| Countries with the most COVID-19 cases and deaths in July, 2020 |
There were 289,149 new cases worldwide today, including 70,904 in the USA.
There were 6,429 deaths worldwide today, including 1,462 in the USA.
Cumulatively, there have now been 17.75 million cases and 682,393 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.71 million cases and 156,747 deaths.
In the USA, there were new single day death records in Florida (256), Mississippi (52), and Montana (5).
AUGUST 1
There were 255,811 new cases worldwide today, including 58,541 in the USA.
There were 5,601 deaths worldwide today, including 1,123 in the USA.
Cumulatively, there have now been 18.08 million cases and 688,016 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.76 million cases and 157,898 deaths.
On Thursday, Vanity Fair published a major article titled, "How Jared Kushner’s Secret Testing Plan 'Went Poof Into Thin Air'"
The subheading read: "This spring, a team working under the president's son-in-law produced a plan for an aggressive, coordinated national COVID-19 response that could have brought the pandemic under control. So why did the White House spike it in favor of a shambolic 50-state response?"
The most striking part of the answer offered up in the article, buried more than 3 dozen paragraphs down, was this:
"Most troubling of all, perhaps, was a sentiment the expert said a member of Kushner’s team expressed: that because the virus had hit blue states hardest, a national plan was unnecessary and would not make sense politically. “The political folks believed that because it was going to be relegated to Democratic states, that they could blame those governors, and that would be an effective political strategy,” said the expert."
April was the deadliest month so far in the USA for COVID-19. Per worldomer 59,944 Americans died from COVID-19 in April alone, and the USA death total was 65,130 at the end of the month.
As April ended, the states with the most deaths per capita in the USA were:
- New York
- New Jersey
- Connecticut
- Massachusetts
- Louisiana
- Michigan
- District of Columbia (I'll add an 11th)
- Rhode Island
- Pennsylvania
- Maryland
- Illinois
As far back as March 24th, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo said, "Look at us today... we are your future... New York is the canary in the coal mine."
And here were are.
No, we'll likely never see the death rates nationally that New York had in March and April.
The attached chart shows the states with the highest percentage of their deaths occurring in July. I'll go to 11 again.
All 11 went "red" in the 2016 presidential election.
Florida and Texas both had more cases in July than all but 3 countries in the world, and would have been top 10 in deaths.
The future has arrived.
 |
| US States with the highest percentage of their deaths so far in July, 2020 |
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