Thursday, January 04, 2007

Global Cooking

Every day I've been back to work this week, at least one person has remarked something like, "at least it's not that cold outside," or "it's really nice out today!" To which I am usually responding something along the lines of, "no, this is bad, this is very, very bad." It's January and the ground in southeast Michigan isn't frozen. The broccoli plants are still alive in the garden, and still producing, I harvested more on New Year's day.

There are immediate local impacts of the warm weather, of course: Ski areas are closed. Snow removal crews are idle. Heating bills are lower. And lots of people are talking about how "nice" the weather is.

Today is the 26th consecutive day of above normal temperatures here. Every day during these past 26 has had a high temperature at least 7 degrees above normal. The following chart, culled from information at The Weather Underground website shows the temperatures here since December 10:
Date High Normal Diff Low Normal Diff Mean Normal Diff Precip Normal
Diff
4-Jan 48 32 16 41 19 22 45 26 19 0.32 0.05 0.27
3-Jan 47 30 17 34 20 14 41 25 16 0.00 0.14 -0.14
2-Jan 44 31 13 30 20 10 37 26 12 0.00 0.01 -0.01
1-Jan 53 31 22 35 21 14 44 26 18 0.00 0.00 0.00
31-Dec 53 34 19 37 21 16 45 28 18 0.49 0.04 0.45
30-Dec 48 32 16 35 21 14 42 27 15 0.00 0.20 -0.20
29-Dec 41 33 8 34 22 12 38 28 10 0.05 0.06 -0.01
28-Dec 43 34 9 36 22 14 40 28 12 0.00 0.10 -0.10
27-Dec 39 32 7 33 21 12 36 27 10 0.00 0.13 -0.13
26-Dec 39 28 11 34 19 15 37 24 13 0.12 0.09 0.03
25-Dec 41 31 10 34 20 14 38 26 12 0.05 0.08 -0.03
24-Dec 44 33 11 35 21 14 40 27 13 0.04 0.01 0.03
23-Dec 44 35 9 39 23 16 42 29 13 0.00 0.03 -0.03
22-Dec 55 35 20 41 22 19 48 29 20 0.44 0.05 0.39
21-Dec 43 34 9 37 23 14 40 29 12 0.15 0.29 -0.14
20-Dec 43 34 9 28 25 3 36 30 6 0.00 0.04 -0.04
19-Dec 43 35 8 28 25 3 36 30 6 0.00 0.06 -0.06
18-Dec 46 33 13 33 23 10 40 28 12 0.01 0.05 -0.04
17-Dec 55 32 23 48 23 25 52 28 24 0.00 0.00 0.00
16-Dec 48 35 13 30 25 5 39 30 9 0.00 0.03 -0.03
15-Dec 46 37 9 37 26 11 42 32 10 0.00 0.07 -0.07
14-Dec 52 36 16 37 26 11 45 31 14 0.00 0.01 -0.01
13-Dec 48 37 11 39 27 12 44 32 12 0.03 0.08 -0.05
12-Dec 52 39 13 41 27 14 47 33 14 0.57 0.16 0.41
11-Dec 48 35 13 41 25 16 45 30 15 0.02 0.09 -0.07
10-Dec 50 36 14 36 25 11 43 31 13 0.00 0.29 -0.29
Average 47 34 13 36 23 13 41 28 13 0.09 0.08 0.01
And there's no immediate end in sight. The Weather Underground has forecasts up through January 11; every day is predicted to be warmer than normal, with an average high 12 degrees above normal.

The precipitation patterns have been weird, as well. Although total precipitation has been about level with the totals posted at Weather Underground, it has come in torrents: Tonight is the fourth monsoon of the past 4 weks. December 31st was the wettest New Year's eve on record in Detroit, and today's rainfall will surely end up much higher than the .32 inches currently reported on the site.

Understanding, of course, that 26 days on one location is a small data sample, and hardly indicative of global anything. Even so: Be scared. Be very, very scared. This isn't Global Warming. It's nearly cooking here in Michigan.
Post a Comment