COVID-19 Compilation: Part 13 - June 7-13, 2020
On March 14th, I began posting daily updates to my facebook page, regarding the status of the COVID-19 pandemic. As a backbone for this, I have used data from worldometers. I had no particular plan at the time, but as things have evolved I have kept going at one post per day, eventually settling on a more or less standard format and one topic per day.
This blog post compiles the period of June 7th through June 13th. I have corrected some typos, augmented with links to original sources, and used some basic html to improve formatting; otherwise these are presented as-is from the original posts.
June 7 | June 8 | June 9 | June 10 | June 11 | June 12 | June 13
JUNE 7:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 113,090 new COVID-19 cases today, and 3,382 deaths. In the US, there were 18,905 new cases and 373 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.09 million cases and 405,081 deaths, with 2.01 million cases and 112,469 deaths in the US.
The US surpassed 2 million total cases today.
New records for cases:
649 deaths were added for Chile; the previous single day high was 93, set just yesterday.
As usual, US numbers are a bit lower on Sunday; nonetheless, the death total of 373 is the lowest in the US since March 26th. Today also marks the first time since the start of the virus spread in the US that the daily growth of cases was less than 1%. By contrast, Italy, the earliest hard-hit country outside of China, had its least cases today since February 23rd, and had a daily growth rate of cases of 0.08%.
This brings me around to another question: Why, as the case rates increase both in the US and worldwide, are reported fatality rates dropping?
Worldwide numbers for new cases have now risen 5 consecutive weeks, and the average worldwide number of cases during that time has gone from about 80,000 per day up to about 120,000 per day, with new daily records set frequently. Yet at the same time, the death rate is more than 37.5% below the mid-April highs.
In the US, new cases have gone down from an average of about 32,000 per day in early April to about 22,000 a week ago before edging up a bit this past week. But while the case rate has fallen by 23% the past 7 weeks, the fatality rate has fallen by almost 58%.
With death being a trailing indicator in this long-acting virus, the expectation has long been that, as case rates start trailing off, the "case fatality rate" (CFR) would increase. But that is mostly not happening, either in the US or around the world. Not even in many places that were hard hit early: In New York, for example, the incremental CFR has gone down from a high of 10.2% the week of April 18th, to 6.3% this past week.
So... why?
I see a few basic possibilities:
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,081,593 Cases and 405,074 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
June 7 | June 8 | June 9 | June 10 | June 11 | June 12 | June 13
JUNE 8:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 107,270 new COVID-19 cases today, and 3,157 deaths. In the US, there were 19,044 new cases and 586 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.19 million cases and 408,240 deaths, with 2.03 million cases and 113,055 deaths in the US.
Over the past 24 hours, there have been a few new developments. Notably, these two:
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,184,733 Cases and 408,051 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
June 7 | June 8 | June 9 | June 10 | June 11 | June 12 | June 13
JUNE 9:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 121,751 new COVID-19 cases today, and 4,763 deaths. In the US, there were 19,056 new cases and 1,093 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.31 million cases and 413,003 deaths, with 2.05 million cases and 114,148 deaths in the US.
If yesterday's headline was that the WHO said the asymptomatic spread of COVID-19 was "very rare," today's was... not so much.
Maria Van Kerkhove, the World Health Organization's technical lead for coronavirus response and head of the emerging diseases and zoonoses unit, made the claim of "very rare" yesterday. Today, she said, “It’s clear that both symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals are part of the transmission cycle." If you now have an image of Emily Litella intoning, "never mind!," that was Maria Van Kerkhove today.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,316,770 Cases and 413,623 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
June 7 | June 8 | June 9 | June 10 | June 11 | June 12 | June 13
JUNE 10:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 135,578 new COVID-19 cases today, and 5,163 deaths. In the US, there were 20,852 new cases and 982 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.45 million cases and 418,135 deaths, with 2.07 million cases and 115,130 deaths in the US.
Today's worldwide case count of 135,578 is a new record. Countries with new records include:
In the United States, Texas had 2,437 new cases; the prior record was 2,080. Hospitalizations in Texas have risen by more than 11% in just the past two days, to a record 2,153.
In the latest round of the reaction to the WHO statement that asymptomatic spread of COVID-19 is "very rare," today Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, weighted in during an interview on "Good Morning America":
"A member of the WHO was saying that transmission from an asymptomatic person to an uninfected person was 'very rare.' They walked that back because there's no evidence to indicate that's the case. And in fact, the evidence that we have, given the percentage of people, which is about 25, 45%, of the totality of infected people likely are without symptoms. And we know from epidemiological studies that they can transmit to someone who is uninfected even when they are without symptoms. So to make a statement that that's a 'rare' event was not correct and that's the reason why the WHO walked that back."
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,451,523 Cases and 418,872 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
June 7 | June 8 | June 9 | June 10 | June 11 | June 12 | June 13
JUNE 11:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 136,757 new COVID-19 cases today, and 4,951 deaths. In the US, there were 23,300 new cases and 904 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.58 million cases and 423,086 deaths, with 2.09 million cases and 116,034 deaths in the US.
Today's worldwide case count of 136,757 is a new record. Countries with new records include:
In the United States, several states had new record highs for cases, including:
On the other hand, New York, which averaged 40% of US cases through March, accounted for less than 3% of the US cases today.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,589,101 Cases and 423,692 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
June 7 | June 8 | June 9 | June 10 | June 11 | June 12 | June 13
JUNE 12:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 140,917 new COVID-19 cases today, and 4,603 deaths. In the US, there were 27,221 new cases and 791 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.73 million cases and 427,689 deaths, with 2.12 million cases and 116,825 deaths in the US.
Today's worldwide case count marks the 3rd consecutive day with a new record. This is the 10th time there has been a new worldwide record for new cases since May 20th.
Countries with new records include:
Also, with 843 deaths today and 41,901 overall, Brazil has now surpassed the UK for the 2nd most COVID-19 deaths overall in the world, behind only the USA.
The USA Case count is the highest since May 21st.
It's now clear that a 2nd spike of COVID-19 is occurring in the United States. I'm not going to call it a 2nd wave, I think we're still in the first wave. But some states appear to be suffering the utterly predictable consequences of opening up too soon.
Some case counts today (all new records):
So far, per the published numbers the deaths have not yet followed. But hospitalizations are at or near highs in many of these locations.
To me, the "debate" on the early re-openings is over. The question now is to the consequences.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,725,609 Cases and 427,684 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
June 7 | June 8 | June 9 | June 10 | June 11 | June 12 | June 13
JUNE 13:
Worldwide, there were 128,403 new COVID-19 cases today, and 4,039 deaths. In the US, there were 25,302 new cases and 702 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.86 million cases and 431,728 deaths, with 2.14 million cases and 117,527 deaths in the US.
Countries with new records include:
In the US, the case count in parts of Florida appears to be out of control. Florida set a new record for the 3rd consecutive day, this time with 2,625 new cases. That's nearly triple the number of cases from just 5 days ago. In addition, Alabama and South Carolina also set new daily records, with 891 and 785 new cases, respectively. And Louisiana, with 1,288 new cases, had its highest count since April 7th.
In the USA, here are the top 10 states for number of cases over the past 7 days:
In terms of cases per 1M population, these are the top 10:
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,855,258 Cases and 431,728 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
June 7 | June 8 | June 9 | June 10 | June 11 | June 12 | June 13
This blog post compiles the period of June 7th through June 13th. I have corrected some typos, augmented with links to original sources, and used some basic html to improve formatting; otherwise these are presented as-is from the original posts.
JUNE 7:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 113,090 new COVID-19 cases today, and 3,382 deaths. In the US, there were 18,905 new cases and 373 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.09 million cases and 405,081 deaths, with 2.01 million cases and 112,469 deaths in the US.
The US surpassed 2 million total cases today.
New records for cases:
| Country | Number of Cases |
| India | 10,864 |
| Chile | 6,405 |
| Pakistan | 4,960 |
649 deaths were added for Chile; the previous single day high was 93, set just yesterday.
As usual, US numbers are a bit lower on Sunday; nonetheless, the death total of 373 is the lowest in the US since March 26th. Today also marks the first time since the start of the virus spread in the US that the daily growth of cases was less than 1%. By contrast, Italy, the earliest hard-hit country outside of China, had its least cases today since February 23rd, and had a daily growth rate of cases of 0.08%.
This brings me around to another question: Why, as the case rates increase both in the US and worldwide, are reported fatality rates dropping?
Worldwide numbers for new cases have now risen 5 consecutive weeks, and the average worldwide number of cases during that time has gone from about 80,000 per day up to about 120,000 per day, with new daily records set frequently. Yet at the same time, the death rate is more than 37.5% below the mid-April highs.
In the US, new cases have gone down from an average of about 32,000 per day in early April to about 22,000 a week ago before edging up a bit this past week. But while the case rate has fallen by 23% the past 7 weeks, the fatality rate has fallen by almost 58%.
With death being a trailing indicator in this long-acting virus, the expectation has long been that, as case rates start trailing off, the "case fatality rate" (CFR) would increase. But that is mostly not happening, either in the US or around the world. Not even in many places that were hard hit early: In New York, for example, the incremental CFR has gone down from a high of 10.2% the week of April 18th, to 6.3% this past week.
So... why?
I see a few basic possibilities:
- Improved testing is now picking up more cases that were missed before, and more of those cases are not life threatening.
- Some states or countries are not providing accurate reporting about either cases or deaths. This could be the case with some countries that have many cases but relatively low death totals, such as Russia.
- Treatments have improved as understanding of the virus has improved.
- Death is still a lagging indicator and will inevitably catch up in the South American, Asian and African countries where the virus has spread most recently. This seems increasingly unlikely to me.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,081,593 Cases and 405,074 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
JUNE 8:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 107,270 new COVID-19 cases today, and 3,157 deaths. In the US, there were 19,044 new cases and 586 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.19 million cases and 408,240 deaths, with 2.03 million cases and 113,055 deaths in the US.
Over the past 24 hours, there have been a few new developments. Notably, these two:
- New Zealand is now down to 0 active cases. The country of 5 million people had 1,504 cases. 22 people died. And now they have no cases at all. At least, not any that are known. New Zealand's decisive fast reaction including shutting the borders, heavy early testing, contact tracing, and social distancing, along with being already an island nation with relatively few heavily populated areas, made New Zealand's success noteworthy relatively early (I first wrote about it on April 14th). New Zealand first had 0 new cases on May 4th, and had its last new case on May 22nd. Now, it has no active cases at all. At least for now, the country's lockdown is being lifted.
Iceland is down to 3 active cases, but one of them was recorded just yesterday, so it may be a while before they also get to 0. - A World Health Organization report suggested that asymptomatic spread of COVID-19 is much rarer than originally thought. Per Maria Van Kerkhove, the World Health Organization's technical lead for coronavirus response and head of the emerging diseases and zoonoses unit, "From the data we have, it still seems to be rare that an asymptomatic person actually transmits onward to a secondary individual." The implications of this finding on items such as the scope of testing, as well as social distancing, seem clear enough. “What we really want to be focused on is following the symptomatic cases,” Van Kerkhove said. “If we actually followed all of the symptomatic cases, isolated those cases, followed the contacts and quarantined those contacts, we would drastically reduce, I would love to give a proportion of how much transmission we would actually stop.”
Of course, "rarer" does not mean that it doesn't happen.
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,184,733 Cases and 408,051 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
JUNE 9:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 121,751 new COVID-19 cases today, and 4,763 deaths. In the US, there were 19,056 new cases and 1,093 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.31 million cases and 413,003 deaths, with 2.05 million cases and 114,148 deaths in the US.
If yesterday's headline was that the WHO said the asymptomatic spread of COVID-19 was "very rare," today's was... not so much.
Maria Van Kerkhove, the World Health Organization's technical lead for coronavirus response and head of the emerging diseases and zoonoses unit, made the claim of "very rare" yesterday. Today, she said, “It’s clear that both symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals are part of the transmission cycle." If you now have an image of Emily Litella intoning, "never mind!," that was Maria Van Kerkhove today.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,316,770 Cases and 413,623 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
JUNE 10:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 135,578 new COVID-19 cases today, and 5,163 deaths. In the US, there were 20,852 new cases and 982 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.45 million cases and 418,135 deaths, with 2.07 million cases and 115,130 deaths in the US.
Today's worldwide case count of 135,578 is a new record. Countries with new records include:
| Country | Number of Cases |
| Brazil | 33,100 |
| India | 12,375 |
| Pakistan | 5,385 |
| Saudi Arabia | 3,717 |
| Bangladesh | 3,190 |
| Sweden | 1,427 |
| Indonesia | 1,240 |
| Argentina | 1,226 |
In the United States, Texas had 2,437 new cases; the prior record was 2,080. Hospitalizations in Texas have risen by more than 11% in just the past two days, to a record 2,153.
In the latest round of the reaction to the WHO statement that asymptomatic spread of COVID-19 is "very rare," today Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, weighted in during an interview on "Good Morning America":
"A member of the WHO was saying that transmission from an asymptomatic person to an uninfected person was 'very rare.' They walked that back because there's no evidence to indicate that's the case. And in fact, the evidence that we have, given the percentage of people, which is about 25, 45%, of the totality of infected people likely are without symptoms. And we know from epidemiological studies that they can transmit to someone who is uninfected even when they are without symptoms. So to make a statement that that's a 'rare' event was not correct and that's the reason why the WHO walked that back."
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,451,523 Cases and 418,872 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
JUNE 11:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 136,757 new COVID-19 cases today, and 4,951 deaths. In the US, there were 23,300 new cases and 904 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.58 million cases and 423,086 deaths, with 2.09 million cases and 116,034 deaths in the US.
Today's worldwide case count of 136,757 is a new record. Countries with new records include:
| Country | Number of Cases |
| Pakistan | 5,834 |
| Mexico | 4,883 |
| Saudi Arabia | 3,733 |
| Argentina | 1,386 |
| Oman | 1,067 |
In the United States, several states had new record highs for cases, including:
| State | Number of Cases |
| Florida | 1,698 |
| Alabama | 856 |
| South Carolina | 682 |
On the other hand, New York, which averaged 40% of US cases through March, accounted for less than 3% of the US cases today.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,589,101 Cases and 423,692 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
JUNE 12:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 140,917 new COVID-19 cases today, and 4,603 deaths. In the US, there were 27,221 new cases and 791 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.73 million cases and 427,689 deaths, with 2.12 million cases and 116,825 deaths in the US.
Today's worldwide case count marks the 3rd consecutive day with a new record. This is the 10th time there has been a new worldwide record for new cases since May 20th.
Countries with new records include:
| Country | Number of Cases |
| Chile | 6,754 |
| Pakistan | 6,397 |
| Saudi Arabia | 3,921 |
| Bangladesh | 3,471 |
| Egypt | 1,577 |
| Argentina | 1,391 |
| Oman | 1,117 |
| Bolivia | 884 |
Also, with 843 deaths today and 41,901 overall, Brazil has now surpassed the UK for the 2nd most COVID-19 deaths overall in the world, behind only the USA.
The USA Case count is the highest since May 21st.
It's now clear that a 2nd spike of COVID-19 is occurring in the United States. I'm not going to call it a 2nd wave, I think we're still in the first wave. But some states appear to be suffering the utterly predictable consequences of opening up too soon.
Some case counts today (all new records):
| State | Number of Cases |
| California | 3,627 |
| Florida | 1,902 |
| North Carolina | 1,846 |
| Arizona | 1,654 |
| Alabama | 865 |
| Arkansas | 731 |
| South Carolina | 729 |
So far, per the published numbers the deaths have not yet followed. But hospitalizations are at or near highs in many of these locations.
To me, the "debate" on the early re-openings is over. The question now is to the consequences.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,725,609 Cases and 427,684 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
JUNE 13:
Worldwide, there were 128,403 new COVID-19 cases today, and 4,039 deaths. In the US, there were 25,302 new cases and 702 deaths.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 7.86 million cases and 431,728 deaths, with 2.14 million cases and 117,527 deaths in the US.
Countries with new records include:
| Country | Number of Cases |
| Pakistan | 6,472 |
| Mexico | 5,222 |
| South Africa | 3,809 |
| Colombia | 1,888 |
| Egypt | 1,677 |
| Argentina | 1,531 |
In the US, the case count in parts of Florida appears to be out of control. Florida set a new record for the 3rd consecutive day, this time with 2,625 new cases. That's nearly triple the number of cases from just 5 days ago. In addition, Alabama and South Carolina also set new daily records, with 891 and 785 new cases, respectively. And Louisiana, with 1,288 new cases, had its highest count since April 7th.
In the USA, here are the top 10 states for number of cases over the past 7 days:
| State | Number of Cases |
| California | 21,320 |
| Texas | 13,075 |
| Florida | 10,838 |
| Arizona | 9,007 |
| North Carolina | 8,127 |
| New York | 5,999 |
| Georgia | 5,442 |
| Illinois | 4,981 |
| Alabama | 4,558 |
| Virginia | 4,472 |
In terms of cases per 1M population, these are the top 10:
| State | Number of Cases per Million |
| Arizona | 1,237 |
| Arkansas | 992 |
| Alabama | 929 |
| Louisiana | 817 |
| South Carolina | 784 |
| Mississippi | 777 |
| North Carolina | 775 |
| Iowa | 710 |
| Utah | 681 |
| Maryland | 632 |
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 7,855,258 Cases and 431,728 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
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