COVID-19 Compilation: Part 19 - July 19-25, 2020

On March 14th, I began posting daily updates to my facebook page, regarding the status of the COVID-19 pandemic. As a backbone for this, I have used data from worldometers. I had no particular plan at the time, but as things have evolved I have kept going at one post per day, eventually settling on a more or less standard format and one topic per day.

This blog post compiles the period of July 19th through July 25th. I have corrected some typos, augmented with links to original sources, and used some basic html to improve formatting; otherwise these are presented as-is from the original posts.

see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more

July 19 | July 20 | July 21 | July 22 | July 23 | July 24 | July 25

JULY 19:
Red State Blue State

In several posts, I've noted the trends of cases in "blue states" and "red states." For that purpose a state is "blue" if its governor is a Democrat, and "red" if its governor is a Republican. It's an imprecise definition that makes Maryland and Massachusetts "red states" while Kansas and Montana are "blue states," but governors tend to have a large hand in setting policy so I'll live with it.

In the earliest days of the pandemic, cases and deaths were more than 80% in "blue" states, but for multiple reasons that has been steadily shifting. The attached graphics show trends based on snapshots on the 18th of each month, from March through July. The shift in the death rates has been sudden; in addition to the shift in numbers, we're also now seeing an incremental case fatality rate that's higher in red states -- a possible indicator that the tabulations are starting to include deaths from newer cases (that is, it's not just young people who don't die getting cases now).

It appears likely that by the end of July, there will have been more total cases in "red" states than in "blue" states, since the beginning of the pandemic.

Trends in "red states" and "blue states"
There were 220,073 new cases worldwide today, including 65,279 in the USA. This is the first time since March that the USA had more cases on a Sunday than the Saturday prior, though that is likely due to Louisiana not publishing data yesterday.

There were 4,316 deaths worldwide today, including 412 in the USA.

Cumulatively, there have now been 14.63 million cases and 608,559 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 3.90 million cases and 143,289 deaths.


July 19 | July 20 | July 21 | July 22 | July 23 | July 24 | July 25

JULY 20:
There were 205,348 new cases worldwide today, including 62,879 in the USA.
There were 4,046 deaths worldwide today, including 545 in the USA.

Cumulatively, there have now been 14.85 million cases and 612,842 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 3.96 million cases and 143,834 deaths.

President Trump tweeted a picture of himself wearing a mask today, with a caption that read, in part: "many people say that it is Patriotic to wear a face mask." That seems to be a notable pivot.

There was one notable record in the USA: Louisiana, which was very hard hit in the early days of the pandemic but had reduced its daily case load by more than 80% in May, had a new record for cases today. The old record had stood since April 2nd.

Per the state's Coronavirus page: "The update on 7/20/20 includes a backlog of 1,583 cases, with specimen collection dates 5/18-7/13." That's not a typo: Louisiana had a reporting backlog of up to nine weeks!



July 19 | July 20 | July 21 | July 22 | July 23 | July 24 | July 25

JULY 21:
Death is back.

Not that it ever went away, but we're now past the point where anyone can credibly say that the death rate is precipitously falling.

Per worldometer, there were 1,119 deaths in the United States today, the highest total since June 2nd. Only one state set a new record today, and that was Nevada with 28, but Texas, Arizona, Florida, and California all had more than 100 deaths.

Elsewhere, Oklahoma had 1,714 new cases today, totally shattering the prior state record of 1,075 set just last week. As of June 11th, the state record was 171. Oklahoma, like Louisiana yesterday, claimed the reason was due to a huge backlog of cases that had not previously been reported. The Oklahoma Commissioner of Health told one reporter that the backlog of more than 800 cases was because the reporting system "is old and wasn't built for a pandemic." It makes me wonder how many other states might also have backlogs of unreported data.

Then there's Wisconsin, where the Republican State Supreme Court invalidated the Democratic Governor's stay-at-home order on May 13th. At the time, the state record for cases was 460. Today, the Badger State recorded 1,117 new cases.

28 states have now set new records for cases during the month of July. 12 of those states have also set or tied their records for deaths.

So far.

There were 239,093 new cases worldwide today, including 67,140 in the USA.
There were 5,678 deaths worldwide today, including 1,119 in the USA.

Cumulatively, there have now been 15.08 million cases and 618,494 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.03 million cases and 144,953 deaths.



July 19 | July 20 | July 21 | July 22 | July 23 | July 24 | July 25

JULY 22:
There were a record 279,368 new cases worldwide today, including 71,667 in the USA.
There were 7,109 deaths worldwide today, including 1,205 in the USA. The worldwide total is the most since April 21st. The US total is the most since May 29th.

Cumulatively, there have now been 15.36 million cases and 629,339 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.10 million cases and 146,183 deaths.

In Peru, a government announcement stated that it, in addition to its daily updates, it "added 3,688 deceased according to the update of the Working Group responsible for systematizing and analyzing the epidemiological clinical characteristics of the deceased."

The world cases and deaths are now dominated by the USA, India and Brazil. These three countries accounted for 65% of the world cases today, and 51% of the deaths. See the attached table for a breakdown, by country. I threw in the European Union as a comparison point.

Today's cases and deaths in the USA, Brazil, India and the European Union.
Back in the United States, California had new records for both cases and deaths. Texas had 202 deaths per worldometers, easily shattering its prior record. It was the highest one day death total for any US state since May 25th, when New York reported 206 deaths. Alabama and Idaho also had new death records today.


July 19 | July 20 | July 21 | July 22 | July 23 | July 24 | July 25

JULY 23:
There were 275,989 new cases worldwide today, including 69,116 in the USA.
There were 6,309 deaths worldwide today, including 1,150 in the USA.

Cumulatively, there have now been 15.64 million cases and 635,666 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.17 million cases and 147,333 deaths.

The 3 most populous states in the USA, California, Texas and Florida, all set new death records today, with 174, 157 and 212, respectively. Tennessee also set a new death record, with 37.



July 19 | July 20 | July 21 | July 22 | July 23 | July 24 | July 25

JULY 24:
There were 288,378 new cases worldwide today, including 78,009 in the USA. Both numbers are new records.
There were 6,194 deaths worldwide today, including 1,141 in the USA.

Cumulatively, there have now been 15.93 million cases and 641,880 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.25 million cases and 148,490 deaths.

A major CNN piece today was titled, "America's Covid response is flawed. But even the gold standard nations are seeing big outbreaks." The article highlighted case resurgences in Hong Kong, Australia, Japan and Israel. A similar article was published in the New York Times.

Those 4 countries combine for nearly 169 million people, or about half the total US population. Those countries have had a total of 2832 cases and 15 deaths today, and have had 103,399 cases and 1,702 deaths overall.

Five US states had more cases and more deaths than those 4 countries combined, today. Florida, with a population about one eight the size of those 4 countries, had 12,444 cases and 133 deaths today, or about 35 times the cases rate and 70 times the death rate, per capita. The USA has had more cases and deaths during these past two days, than those countries have had for the entirety of the pandemic.

Some contrarians have latched on the resurgence in these countries -- which is undeniably real -- as evidence that lockdowns don't work, that "virus gonna virus."



July 19 | July 20 | July 21 | July 22 | July 23 | July 24 | July 25

JULY 25:
There were 258,228 new cases worldwide today, including 67,413 in the USA.
There were 5,713 deaths worldwide today, including 908 in the USA.

Cumulatively, there have now been 16.19 million cases and 647,698 deaths worldwide. In the USA, there have been 4.32 million cases and 149,398 deaths.

For the week concluding today, there were 1.77 new cases worldwide, including 482,438 in the USA. Both numbers are new weekly records. The worldwide number is the 12th consecutive weekly increase, and is 13% greater than last week's record. The USA number is the 6th consecutive weekly increase, but the 2% weekly increase is the smallest during that period, and marks the 5th consecutive week during which the rate of increase in cases has gone down.

There were 39,610 deaths worldwide this week, including 6,521 in the USA. Worldwide, this is the most deaths in one week since the week ending April 25th. In the USA, the death toll increased 18% week over week, and is at the highest level since the week ending May 30th.

In California today, "Public Health Reports 53 New Deaths and 3,628 New Cases of Confirmed COVID-19 in Los Angeles County - High case numbers are reflective of a backlog of positive results due to a resolution in the State reporting system that affected the past few days of reported data." The follows reports from Oklahoma and Louisiana earlier in the week of massive backlogs in those states.

Elsewhere in California, we might recall the viral video of two Kern County doctors in late April, one of whom proclaimed, "Now that we have the facts. It’s time to get back to work.” At the time, there had been 832 total cases in Kern County, a county of 900,000 residents. This morning, Kern County announced 832 new cases in the past 24 hours.


July 19 | July 20 | July 21 | July 22 | July 23 | July 24 | July 25

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