COVID-19 Compilation: Part 33 - November 10-14, 2020

On March 14th, I began posting COVID-19 updates to my facebook page, regarding the status of the COVID-19 pandemic. I have used data from worldometer as a primary source for daily and cumulative data, with frequent supplementation from various national and local sites. 

This blog post compiles the period of November 10th through 14th. see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more


NOVEMBER 10

Today's counts
Location Total Cases Cases Today Total Deaths Deaths Today
World 51.81 million 553,937 1.279 million 9,305
USA 10.57 million 142,212 245,918 1,464

The big news over the past couple of days is the Pfizer / BioNTech announcement of early results of their vaccine testing showing more than 90% efficacy. William Gruber, Pfizer’s senior vice president of vaccine clinical research and development, told STAT: “I’ve been in vaccine development for 35 years, I’ve seen some really good things. This is extraordinary.”

It will take several weeks before we know for sure the efficacy and safety of the vaccine, and likely several months more before it is widely available.

Meanwhile, the New York Times reported that the United States hit an all-time high in COVID-19 hospitalizations today, with 61,964. The prior record of 59,940 was set back on April 15th. The United States also experienced the most deaths on one day since August 18th.

Nine states set new records for cases today. Illinois and Texas both had more than 12,000 new cases. The least populated US state is Wyoming, with about 578,000 people.

  • Worldwide, there are now 12 countries of at least 500,000 people with at least 3% total cases, per capita
  • There are now 28 US states with at least 3% total cases, per capita.
  • Worldwide, there are 19 countries of at least 500,000 people with at least 500 COVID-19 deaths per million people.
  • There are now 27 US states, and also the District of Columbia, with at least 500 COVID-19 deaths per million people.

NOVEMBER 11

Today's counts
Location Total Cases Cases Today Total Deaths Deaths Today
World 52.43 million 616,073 1.289 million 10,163
USA 10.72 million 144,391 247,395 1,457

Election Day Exposure:
Last week, I co-chaired a precinct in my town. Two precincts voted in our location, which was the gym of a local middle school. Altogether, about 1,400 people came through the gym doors that day.

According to statistics for the zip code of the precincts and of our county, I should expect that approximately 5 people who were in the gym at on Election Day, have subsequently tested positive for COVID-19.

Add in people who have not been tested because they do not have symptoms, or who have been tested and have not received their results, and also adding in the post-election work at town hall with the chairs and co-chairs of 25 precincts as will as township officials, and it's likely that I was exposed to somewhere between 25 and 50 people during election day who had the COVID-19 virus.

All election workers were required to wear masks, and probably more than 99% of voters also wore masks. As a co-chair, I didn't personally handle items such as voter driver licenses. So I'm not personally worried about picking up COVID-19 from the election work. Still, a bit of a sobering thought, as to the extent of exposure.

NOVEMBER 12

Today's counts
Location Total Cases Cases Today Total Deaths Deaths Today
World 53.08 million 643,497 1.299 million 9,658
USA 10.88 million 162,226 248,584 1,189

18 states had new case records today. More than half of the USA states have set new records since Tuesday. The overall case number for the USA smashed yesterday's record by more than 15,000.

Deaths have not yet caught up, but were still over 1000 for the 3rd straight day. More than 4,100 Americans have died during that time; it is the most in any 3-day period over the past 60 days.

From this, it might be tempting to suggest that the USA is uniquely out of control with respect to virus containment. It is not. At least, not quite.

Three EU countries had more cases per capita than the USA today, and most of the others have had much more at some point in the last few weeks.

Are we heading towards 250,000 or more cases per day in the USA? Likely.

NOVEMBER 13

Today's counts
Location Total Cases Cases Today Total Deaths Deaths Today
World 53.74 million 660,906 1.309 million 9,970
USA 11.07 million 187,907 249,996 1,416

The US case number shattered yesterday's record by more than 25,000.

To put things in perspective: 3 weeks ago today, the USA set its first new daily record for cases in 3 months, with 81,807. Today's number exceed that by more than 100,000.

For the 2nd consecutive day, 18 states had new records for cases today. 35 states have set new records in the past week. There have been more than one million new cases in the United States during the past week.

Today, Illinois had 15,415 new cases, the most new cases for any state on any day since the pandemic began.

The image below is the daily cases in the USA, as published on the worldometer site.

US Daily COVID-19 cases and 7-day moving average, per worldometer
US Daily COVID-19 cases and 7-day moving average, per worldometer

NOVEMBER 14

Today's counts
Location Total Cases Cases Today Total Deaths Deaths Today
World 54.31 million 577,755 1.317 million 8,826
USA 11.23 million 159,165 251,259 1,263
This week's counts
Location Total Cases Percent Change Total Deaths Percent Change
World 4.04 million +5.0% 60,786 +11.6%
USA 1.04 million +37.3% 8,002+18.9%

For the week, it's almost a repeat of last week's recap, yet again: This week marks the 7th consecutive week in which the rate of growth in USA cases has exceeded that of the prior week.

The week ending September 12th, there were 250,485 new cases in the United States. The case rate is now more than 4 times that number.

Deaths have started to increase rapidly as well, hitting the highest level in the USA in more than 3 months.

The USA share of world cases was more than 25% this week, the highest since July. The attached graph shows the weekly US share of reported world COVID-19 cases and deaths.
US percentage of world COVID-19 cases and deaths, by week
US percentage of world COVID-19 cases and deaths, by week

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