COVID-19 Compilation: Part 5 - April 12-18, 2020
On March 14th, I began posting daily updates to my facebook page, regarding the status of the COVID-19 pandemic. As a backbone for this, I have used data from worldometers. I had no particular plan at the time, but as things have evolved I have kept going at one post per day, eventually settling on a more or less standard format and one topic per day.
This blog post compiles the period of April 12th through April 18th. I have corrected some typos, augmented with links to original sources, and used some basic html to improve formatting; otherwise these are presented as-is from the original posts.
Apr 12 | Apr 13 | Apr 14 | Apr 15 | Apr 16 | Apr 17 | Apr 18
APRIL 12:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 72,616 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 5,415 deaths. This represents a drop of about 10% for both new cases and deaths from Saturday, and more than 22% since Friday. Both numbers are the least since April 6th.
In the US, there were 27,523 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 1,528 deaths. This represents a drop of about 8% for new cases and more than 10% in deaths from Saturday; since Friday the US totals are down 18% for new cases and 25% for deaths. The new cases are the fewest since April 5th, and the deaths are the fewest since April 6th.
Before getting too excited, keep in mind that today was Easter, and we may not be getting full reports from all locations.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 1.85 million confirmed cases and 114,194 deaths, with 560,402 confirmed cases and 22,105 deaths in the United States.
Several countries posted some of their lowest totals in a while:
Coronavirus Update (Live): 1,851,734 Cases and 114,179 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Apr 12 | Apr 13 | Apr 14 | Apr 15 | Apr 16 | Apr 17 | Apr 18
APRIL 13:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 71,591 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 5,423 deaths. In the US, there were 26,641 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 1,535 deaths. In each case, the new cases numbers are down very slightly from Sunday, while the number of deaths are up a fraction of 1%.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 1.92 million confirmed cases and 119,618 deaths, with 586,941 confirmed cases and 23,640 deaths in the United States.
In the US, today marks the first time since February 27th that the number of confirmed cases rose by less than 5%. The weekly rise in the total number of cases (that is, how many confirmed cases there are today, vs. one week ago) is now at 59%, marking the 21st consecutive day of decline. In terms of the curve flattening, the US is now fairly consistently tracking one week behind Spain, and two weeks behind Italy.
As the curve gets flattened in many European countries, the virus is expanding elsewhere: Turkey had more new cases than either Spain or Italy today. Russia and Peru both had more new case than either Germany or Iran. Russia, in particular, is becoming troubling: touted during the early stages for their "success" in controlling the virus (possibly based to a significant extent on inaccurate testing and/or reporting), Russia currently appears to be on an exponential curve. Today's report of 2,558 new cases there represents a 16% growth in the total number of cases, or more than any US date since March 28th.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 1,924,679 Cases and 119,692 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Apr 12 | Apr 13 | Apr 14 | Apr 15 | Apr 16 | Apr 17 | Apr 18
APRIL 14:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 74,012 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 6,981 deaths. In the US, there were 26,945 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 2,407 deaths. All numbers were up from Monday. The 2,407 US deaths is a new record for deaths in the US, with the increase largely occurring outside of New York.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 1,998,111 confirmed cases and 126,604 deaths, with 613,886 confirmed cases and 26,047 deaths in the United States.
The following countries now have more than 1,000 cases with more than 50% showing as "total recovered":
Some of these numbers are due to extensive testing (Iceland), contact tracing (Germany), or lockdowns (New Zealand), while others are due to ridiculously poor testing levels (Brazil) or other factors that make the number suspect (China).
The US is currently showing 6% of cases as total recovery, and 4% as deaths. The remainder are active.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 1,998,111 Cases and 126,604 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Apr 12 | Apr 13 | Apr 14 | Apr 15 | Apr 16 | Apr 17 | Apr 18
APRIL 15:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 84,515 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 7,960 deaths. In the US, there were 30.206 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 2,482 deaths. All numbers were up from Monday. The 7,960 worldwide deaths and 2,482 US deaths are both new single day records.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 2.08 million confirmed cases and 134,560 deaths, with 644,089 confirmed cases and 28,529 deaths in the United States.
In New York, Governor Cuomo said, "we will begin reporting all categories of fatalities pursuant to new CDC guidelines and are contacting facilities to get updated numbers," i.e., the deaths occurring outside of hospitals due to COVID-19 will be counted. New York has been revising totals of prior days upwards for several days now.
One of the features noted about COVID-19 has been the age disparity of victims. This is easily obtained from many published data points.
Looking at a couple areas in the United States:
1: Massachusetts. Massachusetts now has the 3rd most confirmed cases in the US, trailing only New York and New Jersey. There have been 29918 confirmed cases and 1108 deaths in Massachusetts to date.
Distribution of total cases (29702 with known ages) and recent deaths (151 deaths, reported on 4/15), by percentage:
2: New York City. New York City has had 111,424 cases to date, 29,741 hospitalizations and 6,840 confirmed deaths, making it by far the world's hardest hit city. In addition, there are 4,059 additional deaths listed as "probable" but not yet confirmed.
Rates of cases, hospitalizations and deaths per 100,000 people:
"cases" are restricted to confirmed cases. In general, asymptomatic people aren't being tested at anywhere near the rates as those with symptoms. In both Massachusetts and New York, more than 75% of all confirmed new cases are in people under age 70 (age 65 for New York). The cases aren't much discriminating by age, it seems. We can surmise that there *may* be fewer cases among very young people, but again, since this lists only confirmed cases, we simply don't know.
But for deaths, nearly 90% in Massachusetts are over age 70; in New York city more than 70% are above age 65.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 2,077,839 Cases and 134,375 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Apr 12 | Apr 13 | Apr 14 | Apr 15 | Apr 16 | Apr 17 | Apr 18
APRIL 16:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 95,022 total COVID-19 cases today, and 6,996 deaths. In the US, there were 29,567 total COVID-19 cases today, and 2,174 deaths. The world total cases number is way up, but that is largely due to a very large number of French "catch-up" cases (cases from nursing homes that were not previously reported). The other numbers all represent declines from Wednesday.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 2.18 million total cases and 145,470 deaths, with 677,570 total cases and 34,817 deaths in the United States.
Per worldometers:
"As of April 14, 2020, CDC case counts and death counts include both confirmed and probable cases and deaths. This change was made to reflect an interim COVID-19 position statement issued by the Council for State and Territorial Epidemiologists on April 5, 2020. The position statement included a case definition and made COVID-19 a nationally notifiable disease...
"since every probable death necessarily implies a probable case, logic mandates that the adjustment be made to both deaths and cases, and not only to deaths. We have now adjusted April 14, April 15, and current data for New York State and the United States accordingly."
Accordingly, nearly 4,000 deaths have been added to the US totals for both deaths and total cases, even though they are not part of today's one day totals. More adjustments are likely to follow.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 2,182,058 Cases and 145,516 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Apr 12 | Apr 13 | Apr 14 | Apr 15 | Apr 16 | Apr 17 | Apr 18
APRIL 17:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 86,497 total COVID-19 cases today, and 8,672 deaths. In the US, there were 32,165 total COVID-19 cases today, and 2,545 deaths.
Both the World and US totals for new deaths are technically records per the worldometers tracking system, but both come with asterisks: the world numbers include 1,290 deaths from Wuhan added in China from months ago, and the US numbers include 395 deaths in New York that are part of reconciling the updated counting guidelines.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 2.25 million total cases and 154,145 deaths, with 709,735 total cases and 37,154 deaths in the United States.
In terms of new cases, these are the top 5 impacted countries in the world today, and where they rank in the world in testing, per capita:
One thing these countries all have in common is that they all lost time at the beginning of the outbreak: Spain delayed a week; Russia propagandized "success" and wasted time with an inaccurate test; Turkey's leaders claimed to be have genealogical immunity will in to March, and the UK failed to react quickly or coherently. And then there's the US, which today has more new cases than countries #2 through 9, combined. With the arguable exception of Spain, all of these countries still have severely inadequate testing.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 2,248,891 Cases and 154,145 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Apr 12 | Apr 13 | Apr 14 | Apr 15 | Apr 16 | Apr 17 | Apr 18
APRIL 18:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 81,287 total COVID-19 cases today, and 6,505 deaths. In the US, there were 29,057 total COVID-19 cases today, and 1,867 deaths. All of these numbers were down from Friday. For the US, this is the first day with less than 2,000 deaths since April 13th.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 2.33 million total cases and 160,757 deaths, with 738,830 total cases and 39,014 deaths in the United States.
Countries have taken several paths to try to combat COVID-19:
Tonight I'll look at Sweden's totals so far as compared to the other 4 Scandinavian countries (Denmark, Norway, Finland and Iceland).
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 2,330,987 Cases and 160,757 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Apr 12 | Apr 13 | Apr 14 | Apr 15 | Apr 16 | Apr 17 | Apr 18
This blog post compiles the period of April 12th through April 18th. I have corrected some typos, augmented with links to original sources, and used some basic html to improve formatting; otherwise these are presented as-is from the original posts.
APRIL 12:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 72,616 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 5,415 deaths. This represents a drop of about 10% for both new cases and deaths from Saturday, and more than 22% since Friday. Both numbers are the least since April 6th.
In the US, there were 27,523 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 1,528 deaths. This represents a drop of about 8% for new cases and more than 10% in deaths from Saturday; since Friday the US totals are down 18% for new cases and 25% for deaths. The new cases are the fewest since April 5th, and the deaths are the fewest since April 6th.
Before getting too excited, keep in mind that today was Easter, and we may not be getting full reports from all locations.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 1.85 million confirmed cases and 114,194 deaths, with 560,402 confirmed cases and 22,105 deaths in the United States.
Several countries posted some of their lowest totals in a while:
- Spain: fewest cases since 3/22, and a decline in the total number of active cases for the first time since the pandemic began.
- Italy: fewest deaths since 3/17, 5th straight day of decline in ICU cases, 9th decline in the last 10 days.
- France: fewest cases since 4/5
- Germany: fewest cases since 3/17
- UK: fewest deaths since 4/6
- Netherlands: fewest deaths since 3/30
- Switzerland: fewest cases since 3/16, 7th straight day of decline in total number of active cases, 11th decline in the last 12 days.
- Canada: fewest cases since 3/29
- Austria: fewest cases since 3/12, fewest deaths since April 3rd, and 9th straight day of decline in the total number of active cases.
- Israel: fewest deaths (2) since 3/30
- Sweden: fewest cases since 4/4, fewest deaths since 3/30
- India: fewest deaths since 4/2
- Czech Republic: fewest cases since 3/18
- Luxembourg: fewest cases since 3/16
- Iceland: fewest cases since 3/18, 6th straight day of decline in total number of active cases.
Coronavirus Update (Live): 1,851,734 Cases and 114,179 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
APRIL 13:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 71,591 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 5,423 deaths. In the US, there were 26,641 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 1,535 deaths. In each case, the new cases numbers are down very slightly from Sunday, while the number of deaths are up a fraction of 1%.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 1.92 million confirmed cases and 119,618 deaths, with 586,941 confirmed cases and 23,640 deaths in the United States.
In the US, today marks the first time since February 27th that the number of confirmed cases rose by less than 5%. The weekly rise in the total number of cases (that is, how many confirmed cases there are today, vs. one week ago) is now at 59%, marking the 21st consecutive day of decline. In terms of the curve flattening, the US is now fairly consistently tracking one week behind Spain, and two weeks behind Italy.
As the curve gets flattened in many European countries, the virus is expanding elsewhere: Turkey had more new cases than either Spain or Italy today. Russia and Peru both had more new case than either Germany or Iran. Russia, in particular, is becoming troubling: touted during the early stages for their "success" in controlling the virus (possibly based to a significant extent on inaccurate testing and/or reporting), Russia currently appears to be on an exponential curve. Today's report of 2,558 new cases there represents a 16% growth in the total number of cases, or more than any US date since March 28th.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 1,924,679 Cases and 119,692 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
APRIL 14:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 74,012 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 6,981 deaths. In the US, there were 26,945 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 2,407 deaths. All numbers were up from Monday. The 2,407 US deaths is a new record for deaths in the US, with the increase largely occurring outside of New York.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 1,998,111 confirmed cases and 126,604 deaths, with 613,886 confirmed cases and 26,047 deaths in the United States.
The following countries now have more than 1,000 cases with more than 50% showing as "total recovered":
| Rank | County | Percent Recovered |
| 1 | China | 95% |
| 2 | S. Korea | 71% |
| 3 | Iran | 64% |
| 4 | Iceland | 58% |
| 5 | Australia | 56% |
| 6 | Brazil | 56% |
| 7 | Iraq | 55% |
| 8 | Thailand | 54% |
| 9 | Austria | 54% |
| 10 | Switzerland | 53% |
| 11 | New Zealand | 53% |
| 12 | Germany | 52% |
Some of these numbers are due to extensive testing (Iceland), contact tracing (Germany), or lockdowns (New Zealand), while others are due to ridiculously poor testing levels (Brazil) or other factors that make the number suspect (China).
The US is currently showing 6% of cases as total recovery, and 4% as deaths. The remainder are active.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 1,998,111 Cases and 126,604 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
APRIL 15:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 84,515 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 7,960 deaths. In the US, there were 30.206 new confirmed COVID-19 cases today, and 2,482 deaths. All numbers were up from Monday. The 7,960 worldwide deaths and 2,482 US deaths are both new single day records.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 2.08 million confirmed cases and 134,560 deaths, with 644,089 confirmed cases and 28,529 deaths in the United States.
In New York, Governor Cuomo said, "we will begin reporting all categories of fatalities pursuant to new CDC guidelines and are contacting facilities to get updated numbers," i.e., the deaths occurring outside of hospitals due to COVID-19 will be counted. New York has been revising totals of prior days upwards for several days now.
One of the features noted about COVID-19 has been the age disparity of victims. This is easily obtained from many published data points.
Looking at a couple areas in the United States:
1: Massachusetts. Massachusetts now has the 3rd most confirmed cases in the US, trailing only New York and New Jersey. There have been 29918 confirmed cases and 1108 deaths in Massachusetts to date.
Distribution of total cases (29702 with known ages) and recent deaths (151 deaths, reported on 4/15), by percentage:
| ages | cases | deaths |
| 0-39 | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| 40-59 | 33.2% | 3.3% |
| 60-69 | 14.3% | 7.9% |
| 70-79 | 9.7% | 17.2% |
| 80+ | 13.4% | 71.5% |
2: New York City. New York City has had 111,424 cases to date, 29,741 hospitalizations and 6,840 confirmed deaths, making it by far the world's hardest hit city. In addition, there are 4,059 additional deaths listed as "probable" but not yet confirmed.
Rates of cases, hospitalizations and deaths per 100,000 people:
| ages | cases | hospitalizations | deaths |
| 0-17 | 124.5 | 11.52 | 0 |
| 18-44 | 1250.18 | 133.34 | 9.17 |
| 45-64 | 1972.67 | 525.23 | 76.9 |
| 65-74 | 2006.1 | 952.49 | 240.73 |
| 75+ | 2254.4 | 1387.45 | 596.55 |
"cases" are restricted to confirmed cases. In general, asymptomatic people aren't being tested at anywhere near the rates as those with symptoms. In both Massachusetts and New York, more than 75% of all confirmed new cases are in people under age 70 (age 65 for New York). The cases aren't much discriminating by age, it seems. We can surmise that there *may* be fewer cases among very young people, but again, since this lists only confirmed cases, we simply don't know.
But for deaths, nearly 90% in Massachusetts are over age 70; in New York city more than 70% are above age 65.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 2,077,839 Cases and 134,375 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
APRIL 16:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 95,022 total COVID-19 cases today, and 6,996 deaths. In the US, there were 29,567 total COVID-19 cases today, and 2,174 deaths. The world total cases number is way up, but that is largely due to a very large number of French "catch-up" cases (cases from nursing homes that were not previously reported). The other numbers all represent declines from Wednesday.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 2.18 million total cases and 145,470 deaths, with 677,570 total cases and 34,817 deaths in the United States.
Per worldometers:
"As of April 14, 2020, CDC case counts and death counts include both confirmed and probable cases and deaths. This change was made to reflect an interim COVID-19 position statement issued by the Council for State and Territorial Epidemiologists on April 5, 2020. The position statement included a case definition and made COVID-19 a nationally notifiable disease...
"since every probable death necessarily implies a probable case, logic mandates that the adjustment be made to both deaths and cases, and not only to deaths. We have now adjusted April 14, April 15, and current data for New York State and the United States accordingly."
Accordingly, nearly 4,000 deaths have been added to the US totals for both deaths and total cases, even though they are not part of today's one day totals. More adjustments are likely to follow.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 2,182,058 Cases and 145,516 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
APRIL 17:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 86,497 total COVID-19 cases today, and 8,672 deaths. In the US, there were 32,165 total COVID-19 cases today, and 2,545 deaths.
Both the World and US totals for new deaths are technically records per the worldometers tracking system, but both come with asterisks: the world numbers include 1,290 deaths from Wuhan added in China from months ago, and the US numbers include 395 deaths in New York that are part of reconciling the updated counting guidelines.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 2.25 million total cases and 154,145 deaths, with 709,735 total cases and 37,154 deaths in the United States.
In terms of new cases, these are the top 5 impacted countries in the world today, and where they rank in the world in testing, per capita:
| Country | Cases | World Rank in Testing, Per Capita |
| USA | 32,165 | 42 |
| Spain | 5,893 | 23 |
| UK | 5,599 | 62 |
| Turkey | 4,353 | 60 |
| Russia | 4,070 | 40 |
One thing these countries all have in common is that they all lost time at the beginning of the outbreak: Spain delayed a week; Russia propagandized "success" and wasted time with an inaccurate test; Turkey's leaders claimed to be have genealogical immunity will in to March, and the UK failed to react quickly or coherently. And then there's the US, which today has more new cases than countries #2 through 9, combined. With the arguable exception of Spain, all of these countries still have severely inadequate testing.
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 2,248,891 Cases and 154,145 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
APRIL 18:
this past day's COVID-19 stats summary:
Worldwide, there were 81,287 total COVID-19 cases today, and 6,505 deaths. In the US, there were 29,057 total COVID-19 cases today, and 1,867 deaths. All of these numbers were down from Friday. For the US, this is the first day with less than 2,000 deaths since April 13th.
Worldwide cumulative totals are now 2.33 million total cases and 160,757 deaths, with 738,830 total cases and 39,014 deaths in the United States.
Countries have taken several paths to try to combat COVID-19:
- Lockdowns. Italy, Spain, and many other countries have taken this path.
- Testing. Iceland has tested 12% of its population, and has gotten through the pandemic with only 9 deaths to date.
- Contact tracing. South Korea has had success with this method, also without a lockdown.
- Providing guidelines and depending on the citizenry. Sweden has gone this route, also without a lockdown.
Tonight I'll look at Sweden's totals so far as compared to the other 4 Scandinavian countries (Denmark, Norway, Finland and Iceland).
| Country | Tests per 1M People | Cases per 1M People | Pct Tests w/ Positive Results | Current ICU Cases per 1M People | Deaths per 1M People | Case Fatality Rate |
| Denmark | 15,786 | 1,250 | 7.9% | 13.1 | 60 | 4.8% |
| Finland | 10,035 | 664 | 6.6% | 12.6 | 16 | 2.4% |
| Iceland | 120,416 | 5,158 | 4.3% | 8.8 | 26 | 0.5% |
| Norway | 25,763 | 1,298 | 5.0% | 11.6 | 30 | 2.3% |
| Sweden | 7,387 | 1,369 | 18.5% | 104.4 | 150 | 11.0% |
see https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ for more
Coronavirus Update (Live): 2,330,987 Cases and 160,757 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Comments